新质生产力对黄河流域九省（区）建筑业碳排放强度的影响机制

朱雪欣; 张傲喆

文章摘要

朱雪欣,张傲喆.新质生产力对黄河流域九省（区）建筑业碳排放强度的影响机制[J].安徽建筑大学学报,2026,34(4):79-89

新质生产力对黄河流域九省（区）建筑业碳排放强度的影响机制

Influence Mechanism of New Quality Productive Forces on Carbon Emission Intensity of the Construction Industry in Nine Provinces and Autonomous Regions of the Yellow River Basin

DOI：

中文关键词: 新质生产力建筑业碳排放黄河流域

英文关键词: new quality productive forces construction industry carbon emissions Yellow River Basin

基金项目:山东省自然科学基金项目（ZR2025QC446）

作者	单位
朱雪欣	School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao 266520,China
张傲喆	School of Management Engineering,Qingdao University of Technology,Qingdao 266520,China

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中文摘要:

为破解黄河流域建筑业高碳排放与生态保护的协同难题，响应“双碳”目标下新质生产力赋能产业低碳转型的现实需求，基于2011—2022年黄河流域九省（区）的面板数据，采用CRITIC-TOPSIS法、IPCC碳排放系数法分别测度新质生产力水平和建筑业碳排放强度，构建双向固定效应模型检验其影响及传导机制。结果表明：（1）新质生产力对黄河流域建筑业碳排放强度具有显著抑制作用，经过稳健性、内生性检验后结论依然成立；（2）绿色创新水平、环境规制强度、建筑业结构优化程度在新质生产力影响建筑业碳排放强度的过程中发挥显著的中介效应。研究结果为黄河流域精准布局新质生产力、推动建筑业低碳高质量发展提供理论支撑与实证依据。

英文摘要:

To address the coordination dilemma between high carbon emissions of the construction sector and ecological protection in the Yellow River Basin, and to satisfy the practical demand for empowering industrial low-carbon transformation via new quality productive forces under the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, this paper measures the level of new quality productive forces and the carbon emission intensity of the construction industry using the CRITIC-TOPSIS method and the IPCC carbon emission coefficient method, respectively. Based on panel data covering nine provinces and autonomous regions of the Yellow River Basin from 2011 to 2022, a two-way fixed-effects model is established to examine the associated impacts and transmission mechanisms. The results indicate the following: (1) New quality productive forces exert a significant inhibitory effect on construction industry carbon emission intensity across the Yellow River Basin; this conclusion remains robust after robustness and endogeneity tests. (2) Green innovation level, environmental regulation stringency, and the degree of construction industrial structural optimization exert prominent mediating effects on the nexus between new quality productive forces and construction carbon emission intensity. The conclusions offer theoretical support and empirical evidence for targeted deployment of new quality productive forces and advancement of low-carbon and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin's construction industry.

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