肖铁桥,李融融,马瑾美,杨婷.宁合都市圈老龄人口与养老服务设施耦合协调度及其影响因素量化分析[J].安徽建筑大学学报,2024,32(3):35-42 |
宁合都市圈老龄人口与养老服务设施耦合协调度及其影响因素量化分析 |
Quantitative Analysis of The Coupling Coordination Degree of Elderly Population and Elderly Care Service facilitiesand Its Influencing Factors in Nanjing-Hefei Metropolitan Area |
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DOI: |
中文关键词: 老龄人口 养老服务设施 耦合协调度 影响因素 |
英文关键词: elderly population elderly care service facility coupling coordination degree influencing factor |
基金项目:安徽省高校省级人文社会科学研究项目(SK2020ZD25);安徽省高校省级人文社会科学研究重点项目(2022AH050226) |
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中文摘要: |
科学分析不同地区的老龄人口与养老服务设施耦合协调度及影响因素,对不同地区合理配置养老服务设施,积极应对人口老龄化具有重要意义。以南京-合肥都市圈(宁合都市圈)为例,从区县尺度出发,基于第七次全国人口普查数据,利用耦合协调度模型、空间自相关、地理探测器等方法,分析2020年宁合都市圈老龄人口与养老服务设施耦合协调度及影响因素,发现耦合协调度空间分布差异明显,呈现南京与合肥两极高、周边低的空间分布特征;其主要影响因素是人口老龄化基数;影响因素之间的交互作用对耦合协调度的影响不是简单的叠加效应,而是双因子增强和非线性增强效应。 |
英文摘要: |
Scientific analysis of the coupling coordination degree and influencing factors between the elderly population and the elderly care service facilities in different regions is of great significance for the reasonable allocation of elderly care service facilities in different regions and the active response to the aging population. Taking Nanjing-Hefei metropolitan area as an example, based on thepopulation data from the Seventh population Census, the coupling coordination degree model, spatial autocorrelation and geographic detector were used to analyze the coupling coordination degree and influencing factors between the elderly population and the elderly service facilities in the Nanjing-Hefei metropolitan area in 2020. The results show that the spatial distribution difference of coupling coordination degree in Nanjing-Hefei metropolitan area is obvious, showing the spatial distribution characteristics of high poles in Nanjingand Hefei, and low in the surrounding areas. The main influencing factor of coupling coordination degree between the elderly population and the elderly service facilities in Nanjing-Hefei metropolitan area is the population aging base, and the interaction of influencingfactors on coupling coordination degree is not a simple superposition effect. It is a two-factor enhancement and a nonlinear enhancement effect. |
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