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| 基于“过去—未来”视角的沂蒙山典型区生态系统服务供需变化及功能分区研究 |
| A Study on the Changes in Supply and Demand of Ecosystem Services and Functional Zoning in a Typical Area of Yimeng Mountain Based on the |
| 投稿时间：2024-07-25 修订日期：2024-11-07 |
| DOI： |
| 中文关键词: 未来情景 生态系统服务供需 生态功能区 权衡协同 |
| 英文关键词: Future scenarios ecosystem service supply and demand ecological functional zones trade-offs and synergies |
| 基金项目:安徽省高校优秀拔尖人才培育计划项目（2019gxbjZD24）； |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 为分析沂蒙山典型区未来不同发展情景下的生态系统服务供需变化，探索生态功能区的划分，以促进生态保护和土地利用策略的优化，运用多情景分析方法，基于临朐县历史与未来预测数据，构建并比较不同情景下的供需及功能区变化情况。研究发现，未来生态保护情景有助于扩大生态用地，优化生态功能区划分，显著提升生态系统服务供需匹配情况，经济发展情景建设用地迅速扩张，表现出对生态用地和耕地的显著压缩，导致生态与发展之间的冲突加剧，而自然发展情景则介于生态保护与经济发展情景之间。研究结果为地区生态系统服务管理、土地使用政策制定和生态功能区划分提供了科学依据。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| To analyze the changes in ecosystem service supply and demand under different future development scenarios in the Yimeng Mountain area, and to explore the delineation of ecological functional zones to enhance ecological protection and optimize land use strategies. Utilizing multi-scenario analysis based on historical and predicted data from Linqu County, the study constructs and compares changes in supply-demand and functional zones across scenarios. The study found that the future ecological protection scenario facilitates the expansion of ecological lands and the optimization of ecological functional zone delineation, significantly improving the match between ecosystem service supply and demand. The economic development scenario showed rapid expansion of construction lands, significantly compressing ecological lands and farmlands, intensifying conflicts between ecological preservation and development. The natural development scenario was positioned between the ecological protection and economic development scenarios. The research results provided scientific support for regional ecosystem service management, land-use policy formulation, and ecological functional zoning. |
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